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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Bahamas and Southern Florida:
A weak area of low pressure located near the central and
northwestern Bahamas is producing disorganized shower activity.
This system is expected to drift west-northwestward across the
northwestern Bahamas and toward southern Florida during the next
couple of days. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent
significant development of the low, however the combination of the
disturbance and the broader remnant boundary is still expected to
produce heavy rainfall and possible flooding across portions of
Florida and the Bahamas through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave just off the coast of Africa is producing a broad
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is
forecast to interact with another disturbance over the eastern
tropical Atlantic, and then move westward after that. Environmental
conditions are expected to become conducive for some slow
development of the system in a few days, and a tropical depression
could form near or east of the Lesser Antilles by the end of next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Bucci