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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 2 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Octave, located well south-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Offshore of the Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the coast
of southern and southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by the weekend while the system moves generally
west-northwestward, remaining parallel to but offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern
coast of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Pasch