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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP93):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend while the
system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the central
to western part of the eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
off the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for some gradual development of this system thereafter,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph offshore
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs