694
ABPZ20 KNHC 051133
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located just to the south of the Gulf
of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development,
and a tropical depression is expected to form during the middle to
latter portion of the week while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward to northwestward, just offshore of the southern
to southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly