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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Oct 21 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the coast of
southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this
week as it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well
offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Bucci