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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 1 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Octave, located well south-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Offshore of the Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form within a broad area of
disturbed weather off the coast of southwestern Mexico in a couple
of days. Thereafter, environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression will
likely form late this week or this weekend while the system moves
generally west-northwestward, parallel to but offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Pasch