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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 25 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gabrielle, located several hundred miles west of the Azores, and on
Tropical Storm Humberto, over the subtropical central Atlantic.

1. Central Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Atlantic (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms are increasing in association with a
a tropical wave located near Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos
Islands. An area of low pressure is expected to form along the
wave tonight or early Friday when it moves near the southeast
Bahamas. This low is expected to become a tropical depression when
it is in the vicinity of the central and northwest Bahamas late
Friday or over the weekend and then track northwestward or
northward over the southwestern Atlantic.

Interests in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this
system. Regardless of development, heavy rains and gusty winds
are likely across that region during the next couple of days.
While there is significant uncertainty in the long-range track and
intensity of the system, the chances of wind, rainfall, and storm
surge impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast are
increasing. Interests in that area should monitor the progress of
the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.




Public Advisories on Humberto are issued under WMO header
WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Humberto are issued under WMO header
WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.


Forecaster Cangialosi/Reinhart