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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Sep 19 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of the Baja California Peninsula (EP96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California Peninsula has continued to diminish this
evening and remains displaced well to the west and southwest of the
center of circulation. The system is forecast to move
west-northwestward into a more hostile environment this weekend,
where cooler waters and a drier airmass will inhibit further
development.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico (EP97):
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the southern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form
during the early to middle part of next week while it moves
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs