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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic,
associated with a tropical wave, is producing a concentrated but
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms mainly to the north
of the center. Environmental conditions are favorable for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by this weekend as it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph
across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is likely to be
near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week,
and interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Beven