ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1110 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Updated discussion for the western Gulf disturbance (AL98)

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Erin, located several hundred miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands.

1. Western Gulf (AL98):
Updated: An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has been
investigating the disturbance located along the coast of
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas. Aircraft wind data and
coastal Doppler radar data indicate that a closed circulation is
not present and the trough axis associated with the disturbance is
closer to the coast than previously estimated. Therefore, the
possibility of formation is diminishing with only a few hours left
over water. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is
possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas
over the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Bucci