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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erin, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98):
A broad low pressure area has formed from a tropical wave over the
Yucatan Peninsula with disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. This low is forecast to move west-northwestward across
the southwestern Gulf overnight where environmental conditions are
marginally conducive for further development. The system is
forecast to move inland over northeastern Mexico by late Friday,
ending its chances of formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Blake