...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE COAST OF BELIZE ON SATURDAY... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF BELIZE AND SOUTHERN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND... As of 10:00 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 the center of Fifteen was located near 17.6, -86.1 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.