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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure
located a little less than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
next day or two while the system approaches and then moves near or
over the Leeward Islands. Interests on these islands should
continue to monitor the progress of this system, and watches will
likely be required for portions of the area as soon as this
afternoon. The system could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi