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Archive for the ‘Tropical Storms’ Category

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282319
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM PST Wed Nov 28 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated low pressure
area centered about 325 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have become less organized since yesterday, and further development
of this system is not likely due to strong upper-level winds.
However, shower activity associated with the disturbance is forecast
to move toward southwestern Mexico today through Thursday, bringing
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Mexican
states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains could
result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Blake



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281134
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Wed Nov 28 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A westward-moving low pressure system located about 400 miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds have
become less conducive for development, and tropical cyclone
formation is becoming less likely. However, shower activity
associated with the disturbance is still forecast to move
northeastward toward southwestern Mexico today through Thursday,
bringing locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Mexican states
of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains could result
in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Stewart



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280503
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Tue Nov 27 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad low pressure area located about 425 miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are not likely to be
particularly conducive for development, a tropical depression could
still form before environmental conditions become very unfavorable
late Thursday. The disturbance is forecast to turn northeastward
toward southwestern Mexico on Wednesday and approach the coast on
Thursday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain is expected
across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima
and Jalisco through Thursday. These rains could result in
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Blake



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272302
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM PST Tue Nov 27 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure area located about 450 miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined with more
consolidated thunderstorm activity since yesterday. Although
environmental conditions are only forecast to be marginally
conducive, a tropical depression could form during the next day or
two. The disturbance is forecast to move northward tonight and turn
northeastward toward southwestern Mexico on Wednesday. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rain is possible across portions of
southwestern Mexico beginning tomorrow through Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Blake



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271148
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Tue Nov 27 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system located more than 400 hundred miles southwest
of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. However, environmental conditions are
forecast to become a little more conducive for some gradual
development, and a tropical depression could form during the next
couple of days. The disturbance is forecast to move northward
today, and then turn northeastward toward southwestern Mexico on
Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located about 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula is producing limited shower activity. Strong upper-level
winds are expected to prevent significant development of this system
during the next couple of days while it remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Stewart



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270503
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Mon Nov 26 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become conducive for some gradual development and a tropical
depression could form during the next few days. The disturbance
is forecast to move northwestward on Tuesday, and then could turn
northward or north-northeastward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized in association
with another area of low pressure located nearly 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent
significant development of this system during the next couple
of days while it remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Brown



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262322
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM PST Mon Nov 26 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest
of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to
become conducive for some gradual development and a tropical
depression could form during the next few days. The disturbance
is currently moving slowly westward but is forecast to turn
northwestward by Tuesday, and then could turn northward or
north-northeastward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized in association
with another area of low pressure located nearly 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent
significant development of this system during the next couple of
days while it remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Brown



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261724
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 AM PST Mon Nov 26 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are expected to
become conducive for some gradual development and a tropical
depression could form during the next few days. The disturbance is
currently moving slowly westward but is forecast to turn
northwestward by Tuesday, and then could turn northward or
north-northeastward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized in association
with another area of low pressure located nearly 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent
significant development of this system during the next couple of
days while it remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Beven



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261124
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Mon Nov 26 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental
conditions are expected to become conducive for some gradual
development and a tropical depression could form during the next few
days. The disturbance is currently moving slowly westward but is
forecast to turn northwestward by Tuesday, and then could turn
northward or north-northeastward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with another area of low
pressure located nearly 1200 miles south-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula have become less organized
since yesterday. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent
significant development of this system during the next couple of
days while it remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Zelinsky



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260500
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 25 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with an
elongated area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could
become somewhat conducive for gradual development during the next
several days while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with another area of
low pressure located about 1150 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less
organized this evening. Significant development of this system
is not expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

$ $
Forecaster Brown



Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article
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