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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

1. East the Windward Islands (AL99):
The tropical wave just east of the Windward Islands is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms with winds to near gale
force. These conditions are expected to affect the Windward and
Leeward Islands tonight and Monday. Earlier reconnaissance aircraft
data indicated that the system did not have a closed low-level
circulation. Another Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled
to investigate the system overnight, if necessary. The disturbance
is expected to reach the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where
conditions are forecast to become less favorable for additional
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Forecaster Kelly