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Pleasant Weather Tomorrow; Post-Christmas Storm System to Bring Heavy Rain – Gulf Coast Storm Center


Figure 1. 7-day QPF from the Weather Prediction Center | Credit: Pivotal Weather

Rest of Today/This Evening: A mix of sun and clouds will continue as a weak front — currently located over southeast lower Mississippi Valley — continues to advance toward the area. An isolated shower or two will will be possible. Temps are currently in the upper 60s to around 70, and will only drop a couple of degrees this evening. Passage of the front looks to be between 8 – 10 PM based on short-range model guidance.

Tonight:  A drier and cooler air mass will filter in. Temperatures will drop into the lower to middle 40s.

Christmas Eve: Surface high pressure, which will settle in the wake of today’s front, will result in pleasant weather. Expect rain-free conditions, ample sunshine, and highs in the upper 50s to around 60.

Christmas Day: Quiet weather will carry over into Tuesday. However, a return flow will setup, causing an increase in clouds. Temperatures will moderate some again, rising into the the mid/upper 60s to lower 70s during the day, with night-time lows in the mid 40s inland to around 50 at the coast.

Post-Christmas Storm System: A storm system ejecting northeast out of the Plains is going to send a cold front toward the area Wednesday night and Thursday. Moisture will be advected (drawn) north along/ahead of the frontal boundary; this supports a significant increase in showers/thunderstorms.

Widespread heavy rain is likely. The front is progged to stall into the weekend, and possibly early next week, which means there could be a threat for flash flooding. The latest quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) from the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is calling for rainfall amounts of 4 – 5″ for our area (see figure 1).

There also appears to be some potential for some strong/severe storms Thursday. However, there is some uncertainty due to some slight differences between the ECMWF and GFS.


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The post Pleasant Weather Tomorrow; Post-Christmas Storm System to Bring Heavy Rain appeared first on Pensacola Area Weather.

The post Pleasant Weather Tomorrow; Post-Christmas Storm System to Bring Heavy Rain appeared first on Gulf Coast Storm Center.



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