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Marginal Severe Weather Threat this Morning; Unsettled Weather to Continue into the New Year – Gulf Coast Storm Center


Figure 1. Radar snapshot from 9: 36 AM this morning.

Rest of Today: The band of storms will continue to work across the area for the remainder of the morning, bringing heavy rain, gusty winds, and lightning. By about 1 – 2 PM this afternoon, the line should be east of us. However, rain will continue to be likely along/ahead of a slow moving front. Rainfall totals of 2 – 4″ still expected. Temperatures will rise into the lower 70s.

The flash flood watch is set to expire at noon.

Marginal Severe Threat: There is a “marginal” risk for severe weather in place for the area this morning. However, the severe weather threat is very low, and we will likely be “trimmed” from the risk area later this morning after the line passes.

Figure 2. Severe weather outlook for this morning.

The main threat is localized damaging wind gusts, though a brief tornado can’t be ruled out.

Tonight: Rain chances remain high. Lows will range from the upper 50s to lower 60s.

This Weekend: The frontal boundary is going to stall out for the duration of the weekend; this will keep rain in the forecast. Activity will be more scattered, though. Expect highs in the mid/upper 60s to lower 70s both Saturday and Sunday, with temperatures continuing in the upper 50s to lower 60s overnight.

Unsettled Start to the New Year: A potent upper-level short-wave will lift out of the the Southern Plains into Lower Mississippi Valley and Western Tennessee Valley New Year’s Eve, along with an associated surface low. This will bring another front toward our area, which also looks to stall through at least the middle of the week, keeping wet, unsettled weather in place.

Overall, an additional 1 – 3″ of rain now appears likely at this time. There could also be some strong/severe storms Monday.

Turning Colder: It looks like a cold but drier air mass will move in by the latter half of the week next week, ending the streak of wet weather.


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The post Marginal Severe Weather Threat this Morning; Unsettled Weather to Continue into the New Year appeared first on Pensacola Area Weather.

The post Marginal Severe Weather Threat this Morning; Unsettled Weather to Continue into the New Year appeared first on Gulf Coast Storm Center.



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