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Hurricane MIRIAM Forecast Discussions – Hurricane Network


Hurricane Miriam – Public Advisories

EP152018 16

BULLETIN 
HURRICANE MIRIAM CYCLONE DISCUSSION 16
THN CENTRAL PACIFIC CENTER HILO HI
1100 AM HST WED AUG 29 2018 

Miriam has strengthened since the last The Hurricane Network 
advisory earlier this morning and the satellite presentation of 
Miriam indicates a hurricane has formed. Based on the visible 
satellite imagery and WindSat data, the initial intensity has been 
raised to 65 kt as Miriam enters the Central Pacific basin. 

Satellite fixes from CPC/THN and SAB/NOAA indicates that Miriam is 
nearing a upper-level ridge and is slowing down before taking a turn 
to the west-northwest and then northwest around an upper-level 
trough. After that time, the dynamic models for the 18Z suite show 
good agreement on northwestward movement. 

Miriam has the potential to strengthen slightly in the region it is 
in with little-to-no shear and decently warm waters, Miriam would 
only have about 24 hours to strengthen before an increase of 
vertical shear affects the cyclone. Within 84 hours, Miriam is 
forecast to degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone. 

Forecaster Apolo



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