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Archive for the ‘Hurricanes’ Category

Hurricane Matthew – North Atlantic

Updated: 5pm EDT Wed Oct 5 2016

Wind: 119 MPH | Location: 22.5N 75.7W | Movement: NW

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Public Advisory
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Matthew Moving into the Bahamas, Headed for Florida – My Fox Hurricanes


As of 5pm, Matthew had sustained winds of 120mph, with a minimum central of 963mb. The storm was located 400 miles SE of West Palm Beach, and about 205 miles SSE of Nassau, Bahamas. The motion was to the NW at 12mph.matthew-png-2

The forecast cone has continued its gradual westward shift. The new track now lines up right on the Atlantic coast of Florida, and a landfall anywhere from West Palm Beach to Jacksonville is possible. All areas along the east coast of Florida should prepare for the worst case scenario as many models show Matthew as a major hurricane while along the coast.


After its brush with Florida, Matthew will take a turn to the northeast and weaken some. However, the potential still exists for another landfall in coastal Georgia or South Carolina still as a hurricane. Residents in this area should also prepare accordingly. After this northeastward turn, the models have shifted the track of Matthew farther south than previously, thus removing the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast from the cone of uncertainty. Some models have even shown Matthew completing a loop and drifting back toward Florida early next week (albeit much weaker). The official forecast from the NHC now shows that loop as a distinct possibility.


Tropical storm watches have now been extended westward along the Gulf Coast of Florida, with Watches upgraded to Warnings along the spine of the Peninsula. Preparations should be underway or completed for a major hurricane along the immediate east coast. For the west coast, impacts will be significantly less, though tropical storm force wind gusts will still be possible for some time Friday.









Tropical Storm Nicole – North Atlantic

Updated: 5pm EDT Wed Oct 5 2016

Wind: 59 MPH | Location: 25.3N 63.5W | Movement: WNW

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Public Advisory
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Go to Original Gulf Coast Hurricanes Article

Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016) – NHC

…POWERFUL HURRICANE MATTHEW HEADING FOR THE BAHAMAS AFTER HITTING CUBA HARD… …NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES SIMULTANEOUSLY PENETRATE MATTHEW’S EYE… As of 11:00 AM EDT Wed Oct 5 the center of MATTHEW was located near 21.8, -75.2 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 962 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook – NHC

ABNT20 KNHC 051143

800 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Matthew, located between northeastern Cuba and the southeastern
Bahamas, and on Tropical Storm Nicole, located several hundred miles
northeast of Puerto Rico.

A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms several hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow
to occur while the wave moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the
next several days. Regardless of tropical cyclone development,
locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible in the Windward and
southern Leeward Islands during the next day or two as the wave
moves through the area.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Public Advisories on Nicole are issued under WMO header
WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Nicole are issued under WMO header
WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

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Forecaster Berg